Good morning all and welcome to The Rascal blog. I'll be concentrating on Cheltenham today with a selection elsewhere too.
12.45 - Cheltenham
We'll start here, in the first race at Cheltenham which may as well be called 'Paul Nicholls Race'. PN has won this race the last 2 years and I certainly feel the hat-trick is on the cards with Far West. He was very impressive at Chepstow last time out and even though its a short price, its worthy.
13-8 Best Price
13.20 - Cheltenham
Masters Hill went into my one to follow notebook this year after his chase debut last month. He jumped beautifully and didn't put a foot wrong. This isn't an easy race which is probably shown in his price, but I think he'll run a cracker.
7-1 Best Price
13.55 - Cheltenham
Galaxy Rock is showing that Cheltenham is his track, with 2 wins and a 2nd in his last 3 visits here. His 2nd last time out was a good performance and with these few extra furlongs I can see him finishing strongly with McCoy's drive.
7-1 Best Price
14.35 - Cheltenham
I've already mentioned this week that I like Walkon, and yesterday I backed him (at 8-1). The only time to catch this horse is when fresh. He has finished 1st, 2nd and 1st in his first start for the season, and at the weights he looks an excellent each way bet. We know that Grand Crus wasn't at his best in the RSA Chase at Cheltenham but Walkon only finished a neck behind him that day, and receives a stone in weight today. One at a big price is Poquelin whose record at this track is outstanding and he is tumbling down the weights.
8-1 Best Price
15.05 - Cheltenham
In this race we have a horse that was good enough to run in an Aintree Hurdle and has a Group 2 novice hurdle to his name. He has been out for over a year but his trainer is not shy at training a horse to be ready fresh. Granted he might not stay up the hill, but at the prices i'm happy to stake a small wager. That horse is Bouggler.
25-1 Best Price
15.40 - Cheltenham
Kings Destiny came to hurdling with a huge reputation, especially after winning a flat race at Ascot off a mark of 100. However, he hasn't shined at all in maiden hurdles after going off at short prices. He's now in a handicap off an OK mark, and I can see him running well now.
9-1 Best Price.
14.15 - Lingfield
Genzy looked like he was desperate for his reappearance last month, and who can blame him, being out of action for over a year. I'm expecting improvement today.
8-1 Best Price
Footy Four Fold
Man United, Bolton, Bournmouth and Hearts.
Roughly 13-2
Best of luck to all.
Saturday, 17 November 2012
Saturday, 3 November 2012
Saturday Breeders Cup 2012
Good evening. Before I get ready to go out, I thought I would pass on my thoughts for the Breeders Cup tonight.
I will give reasons behind my best bets, and the strongly fancied ones.
18.50
Noble Tune has 2 wins from 2 to his name, and clocking up quick times. Chad Brown had a good day yesterday and at 9-1, this is a fantastic price. Dundonnell looks a little too short for my liking and Noble Tune will also relish the rapid ground.
9-1 Best price.
19.35
Dust and Diamonds e/w
20.14
Fed Biz will be happy to come back to this course where he has been prolific. He is also not scared of a battle which is like to happen here in this tight contest.
6-1 Best price.
20.57
Corporate Jungle likes to leave it late, and with the likely pace, we could see him flying at the end. Well worth a bet at the price.
15-1 Best price.
21.36
Shanghai Bobby
22.18
St Nicolas Abbey. Its very rare that I back favorites. I'm not saying it never happens, but I only do it if I feel that they are worthy. This guy is. His win last year and all the other times he's raced left handed on fast ground have been highly impressive. He will take some beating tonight and is my best bet.
7-2 Best price.
22.58
Capital Account. Another to be held up off a strong pace, I cannot imagine this will be out of first 3.
7-1 Best price.
23.40
Ok, so I will not be having a bet on this race. Excelebration is class, so is Wise Dan and you could argue that Moonlight Cloud is too. I do not think that MC will like the ground. WD will love it but I think that Excelebration is a better horse. If I had to put my money down i'd go Wise Dan, but I want Excelebration. Can you see why no bet for me??
12.35
No bet. Looks a real tricky race to call.
Best of luck all.
I will give reasons behind my best bets, and the strongly fancied ones.
18.50
Noble Tune has 2 wins from 2 to his name, and clocking up quick times. Chad Brown had a good day yesterday and at 9-1, this is a fantastic price. Dundonnell looks a little too short for my liking and Noble Tune will also relish the rapid ground.
9-1 Best price.
19.35
Dust and Diamonds e/w
20.14
Fed Biz will be happy to come back to this course where he has been prolific. He is also not scared of a battle which is like to happen here in this tight contest.
6-1 Best price.
20.57
Corporate Jungle likes to leave it late, and with the likely pace, we could see him flying at the end. Well worth a bet at the price.
15-1 Best price.
21.36
Shanghai Bobby
22.18
St Nicolas Abbey. Its very rare that I back favorites. I'm not saying it never happens, but I only do it if I feel that they are worthy. This guy is. His win last year and all the other times he's raced left handed on fast ground have been highly impressive. He will take some beating tonight and is my best bet.
7-2 Best price.
22.58
Capital Account. Another to be held up off a strong pace, I cannot imagine this will be out of first 3.
7-1 Best price.
23.40
Ok, so I will not be having a bet on this race. Excelebration is class, so is Wise Dan and you could argue that Moonlight Cloud is too. I do not think that MC will like the ground. WD will love it but I think that Excelebration is a better horse. If I had to put my money down i'd go Wise Dan, but I want Excelebration. Can you see why no bet for me??
12.35
No bet. Looks a real tricky race to call.
Best of luck all.
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