Good morning all, and I hope you have a very Merry Christmas. I say this now as it will surely be my last blog before Boxing Day.
14.00 Ascot - Long Walk Hurdle
Its a sad day when this race doesn't include Big Bucks, but for a betting point of view, it makes it a lot more interesting. Smad Place is too short. I have never been a true fan of this horse, and he has always come up short in Group 1's, so at 2-1, its a no go for me. Its a shame that there is a non runner, to make the places down to 2, but I honestly think that Master of the Hall is worth taking a chance on. He will relish the conditions and the distance and the jockey is an obvious plus. I have always rated this horse but his jumping over fences can sometimes be questionable so I am happy to see him return to hurdles.
8-1 Best price.
15.10 Ascot - The Ladbroke Hurdle
20+ runners in a handicap, and a National Hunt race. These are my favorite. I can spend hours looking through the form and trying to find a horse that is well weighted and can run well at a biggish price. I have this down to 2. The horse that I like the most and have decided to back is Its A Gimme. He ran an excellent 2nd last time out and can run well at only 5lbs higher. Even though he's never raced on anything this soft his pedigree suggests he will love it in my opinion and everything looks set for a big run. The other I like is Cash and Go who has a trainer with an excellent record in the race.
10-1 Best price.
13.45 Haydock
Backbenscher has tumbled down the weights and has a terrific record when running on heavy ground. Worth an e/w shot staying over hurdles.
7-1 Best price.
14.15 Haydock
Mac Aeda looks set for a big run here. He's back down to a nice mark and trainer has his horses in nice form. I also like Rich Lord in this, until I saw the trainer. Its just a rule, but I never back anything trained by Ferdy Murphy.
8-1 Best price.
Footy treble
Tottenham - Ipswich - Coventry
Roughly 11-2
Best of luck all!
The Rascal
Saturday, 22 December 2012
Saturday, 8 December 2012
Tingle Creek Day
Good morning all. Hope you've all had a profitable week. I have a few selections today, that I have personally backed...
14.10 Aintree - Becher Chase
This is my main bet today. I whittled this down to 3 horses; Any Currency, West End Rocker and Poker De Silvola. I am not a big fan of backing anything of Ferdy Murphy, and although he looks well handicapped, and in my opinion will take to the fences, I do not believe this is his ground... so for that, along with the 'Ferdy Factor' he's off the list. Now, West End Rocker won this race last year pretty impressively, which propelled him into favoritism for the Grand National. However, he fell at the first there, and then ran a highly disappointing race at Sandown after, where he pulled up which leads me to believe that last year he was just 100% for it. Also, he has won all his races under Wayne Hutchinson, who is not there today. So therefore, its with ANY CURRENCY. Any Currency hits pretty much all of the trends for this race, and is clearly here for a taster of the fences before the Grand National in April. The trip will definitely suit and although not 100% convincing on the heavy ground, I do feel he'll be ok on it.
16-1 Best price
14.30 Sandown
IFANDBUTWHYNOT was very impressive in his last win, and the 2nd won this week after being raised 5lbs, so you would think that my selection can take to the extra 13lbs. He's great on the ground, very progressive and looks set for a big race.
3-1 Best price
15.40 Sandown
This is a race where you need a dour stayer, especially in these ground conditions. My selection is certainly that. MAJOR MALARKEY can stay 4 miles plus, so with the heavy ground, this should be spot on for him.
5-1 Best price.
Thats it for me... will speak to you all a bit later.
Best of luck!
The Rascal
14.10 Aintree - Becher Chase
This is my main bet today. I whittled this down to 3 horses; Any Currency, West End Rocker and Poker De Silvola. I am not a big fan of backing anything of Ferdy Murphy, and although he looks well handicapped, and in my opinion will take to the fences, I do not believe this is his ground... so for that, along with the 'Ferdy Factor' he's off the list. Now, West End Rocker won this race last year pretty impressively, which propelled him into favoritism for the Grand National. However, he fell at the first there, and then ran a highly disappointing race at Sandown after, where he pulled up which leads me to believe that last year he was just 100% for it. Also, he has won all his races under Wayne Hutchinson, who is not there today. So therefore, its with ANY CURRENCY. Any Currency hits pretty much all of the trends for this race, and is clearly here for a taster of the fences before the Grand National in April. The trip will definitely suit and although not 100% convincing on the heavy ground, I do feel he'll be ok on it.
16-1 Best price
14.30 Sandown
IFANDBUTWHYNOT was very impressive in his last win, and the 2nd won this week after being raised 5lbs, so you would think that my selection can take to the extra 13lbs. He's great on the ground, very progressive and looks set for a big race.
3-1 Best price
15.40 Sandown
This is a race where you need a dour stayer, especially in these ground conditions. My selection is certainly that. MAJOR MALARKEY can stay 4 miles plus, so with the heavy ground, this should be spot on for him.
5-1 Best price.
Thats it for me... will speak to you all a bit later.
Best of luck!
The Rascal
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