Hello to all. For those that have followed me this week are probably going to ignore me tomorrow/today (whenever you are reading this), and personally, I cannot blame you. I know when I am not firing, and at the moment I'm not.
I will only be having 3 bets on the horses tomorrow, along with a footy treble.
15.05 York
Personally I think that Saddlers Rock will probably win this. I say probably, as there are no dead certs in racing (baring Frankel of course). He's likely to go off as short favourite so unless you want to play with serious money, and are very confident of his chances, I'd look for some each way value. Now, I am in no way saying that with a clearer run TIMES UP would have won last time out, but he certainly would have got a lot closer and maybe placed. Even though I am a fan of Eddie Ahern, I feel that William Buick will be superb for Times Up and I would be very surprised if he doesn't place. Nice price.
16-1 Best price with Bet365. (price as of 8pm Friday night)
15.40 York (Ebor)
I had this race whittled down to 3 horses. They were, Motivado, Qahriman and Number Theory. I think that all 3 have a very good chance here but I'll stick to my strategy and only back one of them. The Grand National is the only race where I select more. I think that if you cannot put your faith into one horse, then its best to leave alone. Sadly, there is a trend for this race where it states quite clearly 'best to stick to horses drawn in the top 7'. All 3 of my horses are much lower, and my selection is actually in stall 1 :-( however, I think there is still a lot of reasons to back him, especially as he's a held up horse. QAHRIMAN is very lightly raced, has never been out of the top 3 in handicaps, has very good course and distance form and has only been penalised 6lbs for that easy C&D form. Also, to put the icing on the cake, Luca Cumani has a good record in the race.
6-1 Best price with SportingBet. (price as of 8pm Friday night)
14.45 Goodwood
ARNOLD LANE ran a good little race last time out behind a very good progressive horse. Handicapper has been lenient with only a 1lb rise, and I feel that with a little give in the ground this horse could run a very good race.
9-1 Best price with Blue Square. (price as of 8pm Friday night)
Footy Treble
I'll be going with 3 newly promoted sides this weekend as I think they have started promising and can continue with their good form.
Charlton, Sheffield Wednesday and Southampton
For this treble you can get odds of just shy of 10-1 with paddypower.
Best of luck all. Hope you all have a very profitable day.
The Rascal.
Friday, 24 August 2012
Wednesday, 22 August 2012
York Ebor Festival - Day 1
Well. Good morning all, and welcome to the return of The Rascal Blog. I've had a few months off, but I am back now and hoping to be back with a bang.
14.00 York
What a tough, tough race to try to stake my claim back amongst the winners today. I think the best bet here is to find a horse to place, so e/w all the way here especially with bookies paying 4 places. As usual for these big field sprint races, we have many that can be shortlisted. I have whittled my selections down to just the one. That horse is Ponty Acclaim. This Tim Easterby filly has pretty good course form and is coming back down to a sensible mark. Trainer is in pretty good form and the horse/jockey get on well. Good e/w bet in my eyes.
Best price - 22-1 with Sporting Bet.
14.30 York
5 runners here and 4 have very good chances. My selection is Ebn Arab as this horse was extremely impressive over C&D on his debut, and he really couldn't have won any better. The 2nd and 5th in that race, although probably no world beaters, have both come out and won since to frank the form.
Best price - 11-4 with Ladbrokes.
15.05 York
My best bet of the day goes in this race. Main Sequence was incredibly unlucky in his last outing over in France where he had to check back a couple of times... before that the only horse to ever beat him was Camelot, in the Derby. He has a great chance of getting back on track today and is my NAP.
Best price - 2-1 with Victor Chandler
15.40 York
I am well and truly in the Frankel camp and will be watching him win again today. If you fancy a bet in this race though, I've gone for Sri Putra e/w in the market without Frankel.
Best price - 16-1 with Paddy Power (e/w without Frankel)
16.15 York
My selection for this 2 miler, and NB for the meeting, is Cape Express. I feel the trip was a little too long last time out, even though he still ran creditably... The 5lbs off from Darren Egan too is excellent.
Best price - 9-1 with various bookmakers.
16.50 York
I think that Hajras still has a lot more to offer in this sphere. 6lbs might not be enough of a rise to stop him.
Best price - 8-1 with Victor Chandler.
Best of luck to all today.
14.00 York
What a tough, tough race to try to stake my claim back amongst the winners today. I think the best bet here is to find a horse to place, so e/w all the way here especially with bookies paying 4 places. As usual for these big field sprint races, we have many that can be shortlisted. I have whittled my selections down to just the one. That horse is Ponty Acclaim. This Tim Easterby filly has pretty good course form and is coming back down to a sensible mark. Trainer is in pretty good form and the horse/jockey get on well. Good e/w bet in my eyes.
Best price - 22-1 with Sporting Bet.
14.30 York
5 runners here and 4 have very good chances. My selection is Ebn Arab as this horse was extremely impressive over C&D on his debut, and he really couldn't have won any better. The 2nd and 5th in that race, although probably no world beaters, have both come out and won since to frank the form.
Best price - 11-4 with Ladbrokes.
15.05 York
My best bet of the day goes in this race. Main Sequence was incredibly unlucky in his last outing over in France where he had to check back a couple of times... before that the only horse to ever beat him was Camelot, in the Derby. He has a great chance of getting back on track today and is my NAP.
Best price - 2-1 with Victor Chandler
15.40 York
I am well and truly in the Frankel camp and will be watching him win again today. If you fancy a bet in this race though, I've gone for Sri Putra e/w in the market without Frankel.
Best price - 16-1 with Paddy Power (e/w without Frankel)
16.15 York
My selection for this 2 miler, and NB for the meeting, is Cape Express. I feel the trip was a little too long last time out, even though he still ran creditably... The 5lbs off from Darren Egan too is excellent.
Best price - 9-1 with various bookmakers.
16.50 York
I think that Hajras still has a lot more to offer in this sphere. 6lbs might not be enough of a rise to stop him.
Best price - 8-1 with Victor Chandler.
Best of luck to all today.
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