Friday, 24 August 2012

Ebor Day

Hello to all. For those that have followed me this week are probably going to ignore me tomorrow/today (whenever you are reading this), and personally, I cannot blame you. I know when I am not firing, and at the moment I'm not.

I will only be having 3 bets on the horses tomorrow, along with a footy treble. 


15.05 York
Personally I think that Saddlers Rock will probably win this. I say probably, as there are no dead certs in racing (baring Frankel of course). He's likely to go off as short favourite so unless you want to play with serious money, and are very confident of his chances, I'd look for some each way value. Now, I am in no way saying that with a clearer run TIMES UP would have won last time out, but he certainly would have got a lot closer and maybe placed. Even though I am a fan of Eddie Ahern, I feel that William Buick will be superb for Times Up and I would be very surprised if he doesn't place. Nice price.
16-1 Best price with Bet365. (price as of 8pm Friday night)

15.40 York (Ebor)
I had this race whittled down to 3 horses. They were, Motivado, Qahriman and Number Theory. I think that all 3 have a very good chance here but I'll stick to my strategy and only back one of them. The Grand National is the only race where I select more. I think that if you cannot put your faith into one horse, then its best to leave alone. Sadly, there is a trend for this race where it states quite clearly 'best to stick to horses drawn in the top 7'. All 3 of my horses are much lower, and my selection is actually in stall 1 :-( however, I think there is still a lot of reasons to back him, especially as he's a held up horse. QAHRIMAN is very lightly raced, has never been out of the top 3 in handicaps, has very good course and distance form and has only been penalised 6lbs for that easy C&D form.  Also, to put the icing on the cake, Luca Cumani has a good record in the race.
6-1 Best price with SportingBet. (price as of 8pm Friday night)

14.45 Goodwood
ARNOLD LANE ran a good little race last time out behind a very good progressive horse. Handicapper has been lenient with only a 1lb rise, and I feel that with a little give in the ground this horse could run a very good race.
9-1 Best price with Blue Square. (price as of 8pm Friday night)


Footy Treble
I'll be going with 3 newly promoted sides this weekend as I think they have started promising and can continue with their good form.
Charlton, Sheffield Wednesday and Southampton
For this treble you can get odds of just shy of 10-1 with paddypower.


Best of luck all. Hope you all have a very profitable day.

The Rascal.

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