Good morning, and thanks for taking the time to read. Its been a fair few weeks since I've had the time to write a blog, but I've been up since early doors and have a few I like.
I'll start off with my 2 win bets, and will then let you know a good e/w and a long shot, who I think has an excellent chance of placing.
13.50 - Warwick
At the weights they are pretty much level, but one of them will surely suit this course more than the other. Don't get me wrong, its not only about the top two in the market, but I do think the winner will come from one of them, and I am going for Rocky Creek. Even though Highland Lodge is a horse I will follow this year, I think the track and ground conditions will suit Rocky Creek just that little bit more. I know its a short price, so apologies for that, but its a win bet that I have backed.
6-4 Best price.
15.25 Wetherby
Dashing George has been running in much better races of late and running really well. His 3 lengths behind State Benefit LTO is cracking form. He has to run off top weight here but I think he can justify that... he's won off 4 lbs higher in the past and is probably my best bet today.
15-8 Best price.
14.40 Kempton
Oscara Dara has got some good NHF form along with great novice hurdle form and he even ran well on chase debut behind Cheltenham bound Cantlow. He drops back to hurdles today on handicap debut and a mark of 140 looks absolutely fine. He beat Malt Master readily in a novice hurdle who was rated 135 over hurdles and won very nicely over fences yesterday. Terminal was also behind him that day who went on to frank the form.
6-1 Best price - E/W
14.25 Warwick
An 18 runner, competitive hurdle. What a great race to go through form and replays. It looks a good'n too with plenty in with a chance.The Package is too short for me at 3-1. He's very good over fences, but his form over hurdles wasn't as good. There are a couple of other horses here coming back from chasing, and one has caught my eye. I've always thought that Battle Group was wasting time over fences as he was an absolute monkey. He has talent, but just didn't like fences in my opinion. He's now running back over hurdles and off the same mark as when an excellent winner at Aintree back in April 2011. He can handle soft and will relish this distance. The price is too big for me.
25-1 Best price - E/W
That's all for me. I will be out for most of the day, so will catch up later.
The Rascal
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