Mixed fortunes for day 1, but I am very pleased that I was adamant that Silviniaco Conti wouldn't win. Onto day 2.
14.00 - ROSE APPEAL SUPPORTS ALDER HEY TOP NOVICES´ HURDLE GRADE 2
My Tent or Yours is clearly the pick for this race, but at the odds its a definite no bet for me. Interestingly, he's the only horse in this field that ran at Cheltenham, and considering that was a tough race for him, he's easily opposed. But, is it a no bet race, or will we look elsewhere? I'm looking elsewhere... and considering its got the potential of a sprint finish, FORGOTTEN VOICE has an excellent chance if he settles well. Will be interesting to see how Barry G manages this, but I advise an e/w bet with Ladbrokes at 4-1.
4-1 Best price.
14.30 - JOHN SMITH´S MILDMAY NOVICES´ CHASE GRADE 2
I am totally with a horse who skipped Cheltenham in this... and considering there is only 1, it has to be ROCKY CREEK. The small field will really help as he is 4 from 4 when there are 6 horses or less in the race. People will be wary of the good ground, but I think he just struggled last year at Cheltenham because it was a massive field.
5-2 Best price.
15.05 - JOHN SMITH´S MELLING CHASE GRADE 1
What an excellent race we have in store here. Sprinter Sacre, Cue Card and Flemenstar along with another couple, who on their day, can be top quality as well, in For Non Stop and Finian's Rainbow. If there was ever a race Sprinter Sacre might lose, its this. But lets face it, he wont, and I dont want him too either. He's too short to back, but impossible to oppose.
NO BET
15.40 - JOHN SMITH´S TOPHAM CHASE HANDICAP (Grade 3)
The second day, and second race over the National fences. A horse that is tumbling down the weights is my selection in TARTAK. He ran a very good race at Cheltenham and he's gone down another 4 lbs. This horse was a good horse in his day, winning a handicap chase off a mark of 149 back in 2011. He's now going off 130 here and he looks a big price to me.
14-1 Best price.
16.15 - JOHN SMITH´S SEFTON NOVICES´ HURDLE GRADE 1
This isn't a great horse for favourites, but At Fishers Cross looks a very very smart staying Novice. He's beaten The New One before and we all know how well he's franked that form since. However, for me, he's just a little too short to back. Considering he won for me at 3-1 at the festival, I wont be diving in at 11-8. ROAD TO RICHES is the interesting one for me, and he could be absolutely anything. Like At Fishers Cross, he is taking to good ground for the first time, but there are good ground winners in his pedigree and i'd rather take the place money for a horse that has impressed me in his 3 wins from just 3 runs under rules.
8-1 Best price.
16.50 - JOHN SMITH´S DAILY MIRROR PUNTERS CLUB HANDICAP HURDLE (Listed Race)
This race is a bit of a minefield, so its just a small bet, and when I say small, I mean small. But that selection is for PRIMA PORTA, who ran really well at Cheltenham behind Quevega and the return to good ground is no issue at all.
20-1 best price.
17.25 - JOHN SMITH´S MARES´ STANDARD OPEN NATIONAL HUNT FLAT RACE(Listed Race)
The flat race at Cheltenham is not really one I like to get stuck into, and its the same here. However, OUR POLLYANNA is interesting with Barry G riding for Alan King. I'll have a small bet on that, but its certainly no tip.
16-1 Best price.
That's me done for today. best of luck to all.
The Rascal.
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