Wednesday, 23 November 2011

RACING Wednesday 23/11/11

Good morning all, hope you are all well today. Racing today brings 5 meetings in total, 4 in the UK and 1 in Ireland.


I have 3 bets on for today. 2 from Wetherby and one from Lingfield on the polytrack.




12.55 Wetherby


Battle Group is my NAP today and is a horse i have been excited about seeing over fences. BG is the clear pick on hurdles ratings after a good Group 3 win at Aintree in April. 15-8 represents value to me.


14.00 Wetherby


Everything points to Best Lover here, and this is my N.B. He has to overcome a year off, but did do exactly that on chasing début last year and can do the same for me here.
7-2 Best price.


14.10 Lingfield



If Royal Prospector is ridden prominently today then I really cannot see him out of the first 3. He has improved with every run, the step up in trip and the draw are all perfect and he can handle the polytrack. It’s now drifted out to a nice e/w price and I have backed.
11-2 Best price.


Good luck all today.




Analysis


The NAP travelled like the winner for all of the race until it found absolutely nothing off the bridle. I do not like horses like that so am willing to scrap from my notebook, I believe it will defo lose more than win.


The N.B jumped and travelled lovely and was a ready winner. Very pleased with the 7-2 there.


Royal Prospector was jostled along early to get a prominent position. That's no excuses though as was beaten fair and square. This horse will win a race one day though.

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